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CoronaSurveys: Using Surveys with Indirect Reporting to Estimate the Incidence and Evolution of Epidemics

Ojo, Oluwasegun and García-Agundez, Augusto and Girault, Benjamin and Hernández, Harold and Cabana, Elisa and García-García, Amanda and Arabshahi, Payman and Baquero, Carlos and Paolo, Casari and Ferreira, Ednaldo José and Frey, Davide and Georgiou, Chryssis and Goessens, Mathieu and Ishchenko, Anna and Jiménez, Ernesto and Kebkal, Oleksiy and Lillo, Rosa Elvira and Menezes, Raquel and Nicolaou, Nicolas and Ortega, Antonio and Patras, Paul and Roberts, Julian C and Stavrakis, Efstathios and Tanaka, Yuichi and Fernández Anta, Antonio (2020) CoronaSurveys: Using Surveys with Indirect Reporting to Estimate the Incidence and Evolution of Epidemics. In: The KDD Workshop on Humanitarian Mapping, August 24, 2020, San Diego, California USA.

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The world is suffering from a pandemic called COVID-19, caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus. National governments have problems evaluating the reach of the epidemic, due to having limited resources and tests at their disposal. This problem is especially acute in low and middle-income countries (LMICs). Hence, any simple, cheap and flexible means of evaluating the incidence and evolution of the epidemic in a given country with a reasonable level of accuracy is useful. In this paper, we propose a technique based on (anonymous) surveys in which participants report on the health status of their contacts. This indirect reporting technique, known in the literature as network scale-up method, preserves the privacy of the participants and their contacts, and collects information from a larger fraction of the population (as compared to individual surveys). This technique has been deployed in the CoronaSurveys project, which has been collecting reports for the COVID-19 pandemic for more than two months. Results obtained by CoronaSurveys show the power and flexibility of the approach, suggesting that it could be an inexpensive and powerful tool for LMICs.

Item Type: Conference or Workshop Papers (Paper)
Depositing User: Antonio Fernandez
Date Deposited: 03 Jul 2020 07:59
Last Modified: 03 Jul 2020 07:59

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